TBM. NCAAF

Best bets - Week 10/11 NFL & College Football (Thursday Night Football)

 More to come  .........

 HeadtoHead 

Washington Redskins* @ Minnesota Vikings

* = 1.88

 

After an 0-3 start, Washington has won three of its last five games. The Redskins rank fifth in total offense and sixth in rushing and are holding the ball for an average of over 31 minutes per game. In the NFL, teams that win the time-of-possession battle cover the spread nearly 70 percent of the time. Finally, Washington just beat Minnesota one year ago 38-26, piling up 183 yards on the ground.

Vikings seem to be their own worst enemy at times, last week Minnesota should have beat Dallas but Vikings let another win slip away. Washington had improbable win last weekend and that confidence will carry this young Redskins team. RG3 continues to get healthier and each game Washington is getting back to the dangerous offense we saw in 2012.

Key Trends: 

• Vikings are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games in November. 
• Vikings are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. 
• Vikings are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC. 
• Vikings are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 10. 
• Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on field turf.
• Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Washington is 3-5 ATS on the season.
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  Redskins are 5-1 ATS past six November games.
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Predicted Score: Washington Redskins 31, Minnesota Vikings 23.

                                                                                                                                                                        

                                HeadtoHead Multi 

• Oklahoma Sooners @ Baylor Bears* 
• Oregon Ducks* @ Standford Cardinals
• Troy Trojans @ UL-Layafette Ragin Cujins*

      *** = 1.71

                                                                                                                      

  Oklahoma Sooners@ Baylor Bears -14 

               

 

Baylor is the better team, and with the No. 1 offense in the land and the capability of covering this spread inside the first half of the first quarter, you can't help but lay the points. This one is at home and on national TV, and that'll make the difference, as the Bears will be out to prove something.

For the Sooners, it isn't just important to run the ball, it's critical. As Blake Bell himself told ESPN, OU cannot afford to get into obvious passing situations, lest the Baylor defence be able to take advantage of the ensuing predictability. Expect OU to attempt to grind out possessions on the ground and through short passes designed to keep the chains moving, limit the risk of turning the ball over, and keep Bell from having to win the game with his arm. To stop that from happening, I expect that Baylor will treat Bell exactly as it did basically every QB before him this season, daring him to throw over the top and limiting everything short.

Baylor gets up 14 by the half against the Sooners and extends the lead the rest of the way.

Key Trends, 

• Bears are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win. 
• Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 
• Bears are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games following a S.U. win. 
• Bears are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference games.
• Sooners are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. 
• Sooners are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. 
• Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. 
• Sooners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. 
• Sooners are 2-7 ATS past nine within the Big 12.

Predicted Score - Oklahoma Sooners 27, Baylor Bears 52

Regardless this is going to be fun.....