TBM. NCAACFBPlease be sure to check back for more best bets coming soon! - NFL Week 11
Best bets - Week 12 College Football
Alabama Crimson Tide -23.5 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs
If seeing is believing there can not be many who do not believe that Alabama is without question, the number one team in the country. Even Florida State is grateful to be number two. Yes, Seminole fans, you may want Alabama, but be careful what you wish for.
Alabama is atop the SEC West, undefeated in the conference and on the season. Their 9-0 record is in big part due to their defense, ranked #1 in the country by only giving up about 10 points per game. Alabama might be laying a big number in some people's eyes, but knowing Mississippi State's defense was just exposed by the Red Raiders for 51 points behind 446 passing yards lends some credence to why bettors feel the Tide might be the smart play. Coach Saban isn't a guy that likes to run up the score but his great defense is so good that the scores get out of hand quickly. Look for Crimson Tide to put this one away early and keep piling it on as the back-ups still do a number on struggling Bulldogs team.
Key Trends:
Alabama is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road.
Miss State lost 12 straight as double-digit home dog since 2004.
Alabama is 12-2 ATS as double-digit road fave since 2005.
Alabama is 3-1 ATS in last 4 games overall.
Mississippi State is 2-3 ATS in last 5 games overall.
Predicted Score: Alabama Crimson Tide 49 , Mississipi State Bulldogs 13
Houston Cougars +16.5 @ Louisville Cardinals
Houston (7-2, 4-1 AAC) saw its offense let it down at UCF last week, squandering a chance to play its way into the BCS picture. The Cougars could still win the league with some strange scenarios, but first it has to find a way to figure out how to score against an even
better defense this time around.
Louisville (8-1, 4-1) has tried to distance itself from its crushing home loss to UCF by beating up on some AAC also-rans, reasserting its defensive prowess along the way. Teddy Bridgewater and his teammates look refocused and ready to win out in hopes the Cardinals could somehow back into an (unlikely) at-large BCS berth.
Cardinals are a good team but covering a two plus touchdown spread is asking a little too much. Houston has money ATS going 8-1 on the season including covering against very good Central Florida team last week. Cougars bend but don't break defense rank #1 in College Football in turnover ratio which makes them dangerous for outright upset this week. Lousiville and QB Teddy Bridgewater will pull out close win but it will be much closer than spread indicates.
Key Trends:
- Cardinals are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Cougars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.
- Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Cougars are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in November.
- Cougars are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win.
Predicted Score: Houston Cougars 24 , Louisville Cardinals 31.
HeadtoHead Multi
- Michigan State* @ Nebraska.
- Alabama -23.5* @ Miss State.
- TCU @ Kansas State*.
*** = 3.36
Other plays to consider;
Miami @ Duke +3 .
H2H
*Duke @ 2.59*
H2H
*Duke @ 2.59*
Connecticut @ SMU -14.5 .
California @ Colorado - OVER 67
MORE TO COME…...
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