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Best bets - Week 11 College Football
Missouri Tigers -13.5 @ Kentucky Wildcats
- Missouri (8-1, 4-1 SEC) looks like it's shaken off the memories of the overtime loss to South Carolina, a necessity seeing as the Tigers need to keep winning to hold onto the East Division lead and get into the SEC title game. The offense hasn't been as explosive since Maty Mauk stepped in for James Franklin, but it's doing well enough to get the job done. The Tigers have been consistently underrated throughout the season. Mizzou’s 7-1-1 record against the spread demonstrates this pretty clearly. Kentucky has yet to win in the SEC under Mark Stoops and simply doesn’t have enough good players to stay competitive with the Tigers.
Missouri quarterback James Franklin could be back playing this Saturday when the Tigers take on Kentucky, head coach Gary Pinkel said on Sunday. “I think he’s going to be very close next week,” Pinkel said. “We think it’s very possible he’ll be ready.”
Key Trends:
- Wildcats are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.
- Wildcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Wildcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Tigers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
- Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Tigers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Tigers are 37-18-1 ATS in their last 56 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Predicted Score: Missouri Tigers 37 , Kentucky Wildcats 14
UCLA Bruins +1.5 @ Arizona Wildcats
***Other play to consider***...
***H2H Bruins @ 2.07***
UCLA (6-2, 3-2 Pac-12) Will be getting tailback Jordon James back at full strength which will help the run game and take pressure off quarterback Brett Hundley. UCLA needs to have one goal in mind entering this contest: Stop Ka’Deem Carey from rushing all over its defense. The junior back has compiled 1,072 yards on the year, as well as 10 scores on the ground. He’s the biggest weapon the Arizona Wildcats have on offense, and he’s the biggest reason why the team is 12th in rushing in the FBS.
Fortunately for the Bruins, that’s all they really have to focus on defensively. Arizona is an abysmal passing team, as they haven’t even broken the top 100 in the nation in passing yards. It passes for 187.8 yards per contest, which is only good enough for 102nd in the country. Offensively, this team is back on track following its two blunders against the Cardinal and the Ducks. In those two games combined, it recorded just 549 total yards. In its most recent matchup with the Buffaloes, it tallied 412 yards, 273 of which came from Brett Hundley through the air. He also had four total touchdowns.
Key Trends:
- Wildcats are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
- Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Predicted Score: UCLA Bruins 29, Arizona Wildcats 27.
HeadtoHead Multi
- Texas* @ West Virginia
- Arkansas @ Mississippi*
- Fresno State* @ Wyoming
*** = 2.1
Other plays to consider;
Houston +11.5 @ UCF.
Utah State @ UNLV + 14 .
LSU +14 @ Alabama.
H2H
> Kansas State @ Texas Tech .
> Utah State @ UNLV - *@5.85* UPSET
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